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SIE: Economic Indicators
SIE practice questionmediumEconomic Indicators—Yield Curve

An inverted yield curve most commonly indicates which future economic condition?

  1. AEconomic expansion
  2. BUpcoming recession✓ Correct answer
  3. CRising interest rates
  4. DInflation spike
Explanation

Why BUpcoming recession

An inverted yield curve is a strong predictor of recession. Economic expansion is typical of a normal upward-sloping curve. Rising rates or inflation are not specifically indicated.

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