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SIE: Economic Indicators
SIE practice questionmediumYield Curves

An inverted yield curve typically signals:

  1. ARapid economic growth
  2. BA potential upcoming recession✓ Correct answer
  3. CA period of low inflation
  4. DAn increase in GDP
Explanation

Why BA potential upcoming recession

An inverted yield curve (short-term rates higher than long-term rates) is a well-known predictor of economic recession. Rapid growth and GDP increases are more likely with a normal or steep curve.

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