SIE cheat sheetSection 2: Understanding Products & Risks (44%)
Systematic vs Unsystematic Risk
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Systematic Risk (Market Risk / Non-Diversifiable)
Affects the ENTIRE market — CANNOT be diversified away
- Market risk: Overall market decline (bear market)
- Interest rate risk: Bond prices fall when rates rise
- Longer maturity = MORE interest rate risk
- Inflation risk (purchasing power risk): Returns don't keep up with inflation
- Fixed-income most vulnerable; TIPS protect against this
- Currency risk (exchange rate risk): Foreign investment values change with exchange rates
- Political/Legislative risk: Government actions affect investments
- Reinvestment risk: Reinvesting at lower rates
- Highest for callable bonds and high-coupon bonds
- Zero-coupon bonds have ZERO reinvestment risk (no coupons to reinvest)
Unsystematic Risk (Diversifiable)
Affects a SPECIFIC company or industry — CAN be reduced through diversification
- Business risk: Company-specific problems (bad management, product failure)
- Financial risk (credit/default risk): Company can't pay debts
- US Treasury has virtually ZERO credit risk
- Regulatory risk: Industry-specific regulations change
- Liquidity risk: Can't sell quickly without significant price impact
- Thinly traded stocks, non-traded REITs, DPPs
Other Important Risks
- Call risk: Issuer calls bonds when rates drop — investor loses high coupon
- Prepayment risk: Mortgage holders refinance early (affects MBS/GNMA)
- Opportunity cost: Return given up by choosing one investment over another
- Concentration risk: Too much invested in one security/sector
Key facts to memorize
- Systematic risk: market-wide, NOT diversifiable
- Unsystematic risk: company-specific, CAN be diversified away
- Interest rate risk: longer maturity = more risk
- Reinvestment risk: zero-coupon bonds have NONE
- TIPS: protect against inflation/purchasing power risk
- US Treasuries: no credit risk, but yes interest rate risk
- Diversification reduces unsystematic risk only
Mnemonics that stick
- "Systematic = System-wide" — affects everything, can't diversify away
- "Unsystematic = Unique to one company" — diversify to reduce it
- "SIMPLE for systematic: S-ystematic, I-nterest rate, M-arket, P-olitical, L-egislative, E-xchange rate"
- "TIPS = inflation protection; Zero-coupon = NO reinvestment risk"
- "Longer bonds = more interest rate risk (they have more time to be affected)"
Exam traps
- You CANNOT diversify away systematic (market) risk — only unsystematic risk
- Interest rate risk is SYSTEMATIC (affects all bonds), not unsystematic
- Zero-coupon bonds have ZERO reinvestment risk but the HIGHEST interest rate risk/duration
- TIPS protect against INFLATION risk, not interest rate risk
- Callable bonds have REINVESTMENT risk — when called, you reinvest at lower rates
- US Treasury bonds have virtually no CREDIT risk, but they DO have interest rate risk
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